
第六讲 台风强度预报
- 6.1 台风强度预报业务现状
- 6.2 台风生成和发展的基本条件
- 6.3 影响台风强度变化的主要因子
- 6.4 台风强度综合预报方法
- 6.5 台风强度预报诊断
- 6.6 台风数值模式系统
- 6.7 台风生成预报
- 6.8 台风强度指数
PPT课件学习
6.6 台风数值模式系统
文献阅读
1. Fernando Prates, ECMWF progress in tropical cyclone forecasts, 72nd IHC and TCORF, FIU, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.
2. Vijay Tallapragada; Fanglin Yang & Avichal Mehra, Operational Hurricane Modeling Plans at NCEP, 72nd IHC and TCORF, FIU, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.
3. Michael Vellinga, Julian Heming, Helen Titley, Chris Short, Stu Webster, Jo Camp, Met Office prediction systems upgrades and TC products, 72nd IHC and TCORF, FIU, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.
4. James D. Doyle, Jon Moskaitis, Rich Hodur etal., COAMPS-TC Status and Future Plans, 72nd IHC and TCORF, FIU, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.
5. Vijay Tallapragada, Unified Forecast System: Advancing NCEP Operational Global Modeling Systems for 2019 and Beyond, 2019 HFIP Annual Meeting, Miami, FL, Nov 4-6, 2019.
6. Avichal Mehra and the EMC Hurricane Team, Plans for Operational Hurricane Modeling in FY20, 2019 HFIP Annual Meeting, Miami, FL, Nov 4-6, 2019.
7. Brian Gross, EMC Implementations, NOAA Production Suite Review, November 19, 2019.
8. Geoff Manikin, Alicia Bentley, Logan Dawson, Tracey Dorian, FV3GFS Performance On Tropical Cyclones, 2018 NCEP Production Suite Review,23 August 2018.
9. John P. Cangialosi, National Hurricane Center Forecast Verification Report of 2019 Hurricane Season, 20 April 2020.
10. 陈国民,白莉娜,万日金,张喜平,2018年西北太平洋和南海台风定位及预报精度评定,第九届全国台风及海洋气象专家工作组第一次会议,浙江台州,2019年3月14-15日.
相关网址
1. http://nwpc.nmc.cn/sites/main/twainindex/ywxtong.htm?columnid=13
2. https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/emc/pages/ncep-numerical-forecast-systems.php
3. https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/emchurr/tcgen/
4. https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/charts/latest-tropical-cyclones-forecast
5. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/weather/tropical-cyclones/warnings
6. https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gc_wmb/vxt/HWRF/
7. https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical-guidance-model-storm.php
8. https://ruc.noaa.gov/tracks/
9. https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/users/meg/fv3gfs/
10. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/verify6.shtml
11. https://meteologix.com/cn/model-charts