
第五讲 台风路径预报
- 5.1 台风运动的概念
- 5.2 涡度方程
- 5.3 影响台风运动的主要因子
- 5.4 台风数值模式系统
- 5.5 台风路径预报核心技术
- 5.6 台风路径预报业务现状
- 5.7 台风路径预报面临的挑战
- 5.8 影响台风环境引导气流的主要因子
PPT课件学习
5.4 台风数值模式系统
文献阅读
1. Fernando Prates, ECMWF progress in tropical cyclone forecasts, 72nd IHC and TCORF, FIU, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.
2. Vijay Tallapragada; Fanglin Yang & Avichal Mehra, Operational Hurricane Modeling Plans at NCEP, 72nd IHC and TCORF, FIU, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.
3. Michael Vellinga, Julian Heming, Helen Titley, Chris Short, Stu Webster, Jo Camp, Met Office prediction systems upgrades and TC products, 72nd IHC and TCORF, FIU, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.
4. James D. Doyle, Jon Moskaitis, Rich Hodur etal., COAMPS-TC Status and Future Plans, 72nd IHC and TCORF, FIU, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.
5. Vijay Tallapragada, Unified Forecast System: Advancing NCEP Operational Global Modeling Systems for 2019 and Beyond, 2019 HFIP Annual Meeting, Miami, FL, Nov 4-6, 2019.
6. Avichal Mehra and the EMC Hurricane Team, Plans for Operational Hurricane Modeling in FY20, 2019 HFIP Annual Meeting, Miami, FL, Nov 4-6, 2019.
7. Brian Gross, EMC Implementations, NOAA Production Suite Review, November 19, 2019.
8. 陈国民,白莉娜,万日金,张喜平,2018年西北太平洋和南海台风定位及预报精度评定,第九届全国台风及海洋气象专家工作组第一次会议,浙江台州,2019年3月14-15日.
相关网址
1. http://nwpc.nmc.cn/sites/main/twainindex/ywxtong.htm?columnid=13
2. https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/emc/pages/ncep-numerical-forecast-systems.php
3. https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/emchurr/tcgen/
4. https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/charts/latest-tropical-cyclones-forecast
5. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/weather/tropical-cyclones/warnings
6. https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gc_wmb/vxt/HWRF/
7. https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical-guidance-model-storm.php
8. https://ruc.noaa.gov/tracks/
9. https://meteologix.com/cn/model-charts