台风预报及其灾害--拓展资源

第五讲台风路径预报

本讲导学

文本资源

视频讲授

小结思考

拓展资源

参考文献

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3. 郭鸿基，位涡反演台风路径之探讨，台湾地区中央气象局委托研究计划成果报告，1996.

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7. Fernando Prates, ECMWF progress in tropical cyclone forecasts, 72nd IHC and TCORF, FIU, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.

8. Vijay Tallapragada; Fanglin Yang & Avichal Mehra, Operational Hurricane Modeling Plans at NCEP, 72nd IHC and TCORF, FIU, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.

9. Michael Vellinga, Julian Heming, Helen Titley, Chris Short, Stu Webster, Jo Camp, Met Office prediction systems upgrades and TC products, 72nd IHC and TCORF, FIU, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.

10. James D. Doyle, Jon Moskaitis, Rich Hodur etal., COAMPS-TC Status and Future Plans, 72nd IHC and TCORF, FIU, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.

11. Vijay Tallapragada, Unified Forecast System: Advancing NCEP Operational Global Modeling Systems for 2019 and Beyond, 2019 HFIP Annual Meeting, Miami, FL, Nov 4-6, 2019.

12. Avichal Mehra and the EMC Hurricane Team, Plans for Operational Hurricane Modeling in FY20, 2019 HFIP Annual Meeting, Miami, FL, Nov 4-6, 2019.

13. Brian Gross, EMC Implementations, NOAA Production Suite Review, November 19, 2019.

14. 陈国民，白莉娜，万日金，张喜平，2018年西北太平洋和南海台风定位及预报精度评定，第九届全国台风及海洋气象专家工作组第一次会议，浙江台州，2019年3月14-15日.

15. 钱奇峰，张长安，高拴柱，等．台风路径集合预报的实时订正技术研究．热带气象学报，2014，30(5)：905-910

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18. Brian Belson, 2019 Year in Review: Joint Typhoon Warning Center TC Activity, Forecast Challenges and Priorities, 2019 HFIP Annual Meeting, Miami, FL, Nov 4-6, 2019.

19. 许映龙，吕心艳，张玲，黄奕武，1323号强台风菲特特点及预报难点分析，气象，2015，41(10):1222-1231.

20. Eric Blake, 2015 NHC forecast challenges, 70th IHC and TCORF, Miami, FL, March 15-17, 2016.

21. Eric Blake, Successes and challenges during the 2017 hurricane season & new products for 2018/19, 72nd IHC and TCORF, Miami, FL, March 13-15, 2018.

22. Eric Blake, 2018 NHC Forecast Challenges, 2018 HFIP Annual Meeting, Miami, FL, November 5-7, 2018.

23. 吴宗尧，综观天气学法之台风路径预报，1996，1995年台湾地区天气分析与预报研讨会论文汇编。

24. 钱燕珍，许映龙，徐迪峰，东海转向和登陆热带气旋特征合成分析，气象，2013，39(12):1600-1608.

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参考文献

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